nach oben

Transportation

Erschienen in:

01.01.2010

The Santiago Panel: measuring the effects of implementing Transantiago

verfasst von: María Francisca Yáñez, Patricio Mansilla, Juan de Dios Ortúzar

Erschienen in: Transportation | Ausgabe 1/2010

Einloggen

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config

KI-gestützte Suche

Aus

Abstract

Although panels offer significant advantages over cross sectional data especially in terms of evaluating the effects of significant policy changes, there are precious few examples of panels built around an important change to an urban transport system. For this reason we took the opportunity of the introduction of Transantiago, a radically new public transport system for Santiago de Chile in February 2007, to form a panel, the first wave of which was taken in December 2006. The final objective was to use this Santiago Panel to estimate mode choice models considering both inertia and policy effects. This document describes both the design and construction of the panel, and presents some results based on an analysis of its four waves; for example, we registered a high percentage of mode change (55.1%) attributable to the introduction of the new system. The panel can claim the highest response rate (or lowest attrition) reported in the literature (95% in the second wave, 92% in the third one, and 85% in the forth one). This hints at the possibility of developing sophisticated models to evaluate the effects of a system shock in the presence of inertia in decision making.

Vorheriger Artikel An analysis of trip chaining among older London residents

Nächster Artikel Exploring public transport usage trends in an ageing population

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

über 102.000 Bücher
über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

Automobil + Motoren
Bauwesen + Immobilien
Business IT + Informatik
Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
Finance + Banking
Management + Führung
Marketing + Vertrieb
Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Jetzt informieren

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

über 67.000 Bücher
über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

Automobil + Motoren
Bauwesen + Immobilien
Business IT + Informatik
Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Jetzt informieren

Nur mit Berechtigung zugänglich

There are no season tickets in Santiago as yet, although the new technology introduced by Transantiago would certainly allow for it.

It is not exaggerated to say that the coalition in power during the last 20 years of democratic government stands to lose the next general election, in September 2009, mainly because of Transantiago.

In the first three waves we questioned respondents about their usual form of travel to work and whether it varied during the week; in the last wave, we enquired about the way in which they had travelled to work during the last week (i.e. 5 days).

We also evaluated the alternative of including trips to study, but considered that re-contacting students successfully in successive waves during two years would imply much higher risks of attrition.

This size of sample ensures an estimate of mode choice in the population with 25% error at the 90% confidence level (based on detecting the mode with the smallest share of 8%, see Appendix 2).

This could be a pure mode or an intermodal mode, such as Shared-taxi-Metro or Bus-Metro.

The data for the buses and the underground was provided, with maximum available detail, by the operators (Metro S.A and Transantiago S.A.). The main haul data for the private modes and shared taxis was measured, using instrumented cars, by the Traffic Laboratory at the Department of Transport Engineering and Logistics. The access data (to bus stops or stations in the case of public transport modes, or in the secondary network in the case of private vehicles) was measured on Google maps of the city.

The average age in Chile is 31 years. The difference among waves is low, as the average age of the people who left the panel is higher than the age of the initial sample.

The average number of cars/household in Chile is currently 0.56.

The average income in Chile is currently US$ 582/month.

Transfers made during a 2 h window do not have to pay an additional charge.

Experts jokingly refer to this as Metro having changed from being a Boutique to a Mall, but more seriously, this has obviously a high social value and makes the underground a much more socially worthy investment.

Winner/looser means that the trip between two successive waves is better/worse, in terms of: cost, travel time, waiting time, walking time or transfers. We are grateful to an anonymous referee for having suggested this analysis.

It prove impossible to locate later some individuals, selected at the beginning, who had just a temporal contract with the University.

The project was managed by the Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile under a grant from FONDECYT, one of the main funding bodies for scientific and technological research of the Chilean government.

This question was only included in the second wave.

This is perhaps the only design fault of the new system; these “latent” factors were not considered more than indirectly in the network design model used (Fernández et al. 2008).

Adimark.: Presentación de resultados indice nacional de satisfacción de consumidores segundo semestre (http://www.adimark.cl/calidad22001/index.htm). Santiago, Chile (2001, in Spanish)

Ampt, E.S., Ortúzar, J. de D.: On best practice in continuous large-scale mobility surveys. Transp. Rev. 24, 337–363 (2004)

Axhausen, K.W., Zimmermann, A., Schönfelder, S., Rindsfüser, G., Haupt, T.: Observing the rhythms of daily life: a six-week travel diary. Transportation 29, 95–124 (2002)CrossRef

Axhausen, K.W., Löchl, M., Schlich, R., Buhl, T., Widmer, P.: Fatigue in long-duration travel diaries. Transportation 34, 143–160 (2007)CrossRef

Cherchi, E., Cirillo, C.: A modal mixed logit choice model on panel data: accounting for systematic and random heterogeneity in preferences and tastes. 86th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board. Washington, DC, USA (2008)

Cherchi, E., Ortúzar, J. de D.: Empirical identification in the mixed logit model: analysing the effect of data richness. Netw. Sp. Econ. 8, 109–124 (2008)

Cirillo, C., Axhausen, K.W.: Dynamic model of activity-type choice and scheduling. Proceedings European Transport Conference, Strasbourg, France (2006)

Daly, A.J., Ortúzar, J. de D.: Forecasting and data aggregation: theory and practice. Traffic Eng. Control 31, 632–643 (1990)

De Cea, J., Fernández, J.E., Dekock, V., Soto, A.: Solving network equilibrium problems on multimodal urban transportation networks with multiple user classes. Transp. Rev.35, 293–317 (2005)CrossRef

DICTUC.: Encuesta de Movilidad 2001 de Santiago. Informe final para el Ministerio de Planificación. Departamento de Ingeniería de Transporte, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago (2003, in Spanish)

Duncan, G.J.: Household panel studies: prospects and problems, Working Paper 54, European Scientific Network on Household Panel Studies, University of Essex (1992)

Fernández, J.E., de Cea, J., Malbrán, H.: Demand responsive urban public transport system design: methodology and application. Transp. Res. 42A, 951–972 (2008)

Gómez-Lobo, A.: Transantiago: una reforma en panne. Trabajos de Investigación en Políticas Públicas N° 4, Department of Economics, Universidad de Chile (2007, in Spanish)

Heckman, J.J.: Statistical models for discrete panel data. In: Manski, C.F., McFadden, D. (eds.) Structural Analysis of Discrete Data: With Econometric Applications. MIT Press, Cambridge, Mass (1981)

Hensher, D.A.: Longitudinal surveys in transport: an assessment. In: Ampt, E., Brög, W., Richardson, A.J. (eds.) New Survey Methods in Transport. VNU Science Press, Utrech (1985)

Kitamura, R.: Panel analysis in transportation planning: an overview. Transp. Res.24A, 401–415 (1990a)

Kitamura, R.: Longitudinal surveys. In: Ampt, E.S., Richardson, A.J., Meyburg, A.H. (eds.) Selected Readings in Transport Survey Methodology. Eucalyptus Press, Melbourne (1990b)

Kroes, E.P., Daly, A.J., Gunn, H.F., van der Hoorn, A.I.J.M.: The opening of the Amsterdam ring road: a case study on short-term effects of removing a bottleneck. Transportation 23, 71–82 (1996)CrossRef

Mobidrive.: Mobidrive questionnaires. Arbeitsberichte Verkehrs und Raumplanung, 52, Institut für Verkehrsplanung, Transporttechnik, Strassen und Eisenbahnbau, ETH Zürich (2000)

Muñoz, J.C., Ortúzar, J. de D., Gschwender, A.: Transantiago: the fall and rise of a radical public transport intervention. In: Saleh, W., Sammer, G. (eds.) Travel Demand Management and Road User Pricing: Success, Failure and Feasibility. Ashgate, Farnham (2009)

Murakami, E., Watterson, W.T.: Developing a household travel survey for the Puget Sound Region. Transp. Res. Rec. 1285, 40–48 (1990)

Ortúzar, J. de D., Willumsen, L.G.: Modelling Transport, 3rd edn. John Wiley and Sons, Chichester (2001)

Ortúzar, J. de D., Ivelic, A.M., Malbrán, H., Thomas, A.: The 1991 Great Santiago origin-destination survey: methodological design and main results. Traffic Eng. Control 34, 362–368 (1993)

Parody, T.: Analysis of predictive qualities of disaggregate modal-choice models. Transp. Res. Rec.637, 51–57 (1977)

Raveau, S., Ortúzar, J. de D., Yáñez, M.F.: Simultaneous estimation of discrete choice models with latent variables. 13th EURO Working Group on Transportation (EWGT). Padua, Italy (2009)

Razavi, A.H., Warwick, V.: Arcview Gis/Avenue Programmer’s Reference: Class Hierarchy Quick Reference and 100+ Scripts, 3rd edn. Onword Press, New York (1999)

Richardson, A.J., Ampt, E.S., Meyburg, A.H.: Survey Methods for Transport Planning. Eucalyptus Press, Australia (1995)

Rojas, M., Yáñez, M.F., Ortúzar, J. de D.: Introduction of latent variables in mode choice models for the Santiago Panel. Working Paper. Department of Transport Engineering and Logistics, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile (2008)

Ruiz, T.: Attrition in transport panels. In: Stopher, P., Stecher, C. (eds.) Travel Survey Methods: Quality and Future Directions. Elsevier, Amsterdam (2006)

Smith, M.E.: Design of small sample home interview travel surveys. Transp. Res. Rec.701, 29–35 (1979)

Steer Davies Gleave.: Diseño Operacional del Sistema Transmilenio. Proyecto de Transporte Urbano para Santa Fe de Bogotá, BIRF 4021-FONDATT-10, Bogotá (2000, in Spanish)

Stopher, P., Swann, N.: Six-wave odometer panel for evaluation of voluntary travel behaviour change programs. Transp. Res. Rec. 2049, 119–127 (2008)CrossRef

Tourangeau, R., Zimowski, M., Ghadialy, R.: An Introduction to Panel Surveys in Transportation Studies. NORC, Chicago (1997)

Trivellato, U.: Issues in the design and analysis of panel studies: a cursory review. Qual. Quant.33, 339–352 (1999)CrossRef

Van Wissen, L.J.G., Meurs, H.J.: The Dutch mobility panel: experiences and evaluation. Transportation 16, 99–119 (1989)CrossRef

Waterton, J., Lievesley, D.: Attrition in a panel study of attitudes. J. Off. Stat.3, 267–282 (1987)

Yáñez, M.F., Cherchi, E., Heydecker, B.G., Ortúzar, J. de D.: On the treatment of repeated observations in panel data: efficiency of mixed logit parameter estimates. XV Congreso Panamericano de Ingeniería de Tránsito y Transporte. Cartagena de Indias, Colombia (2008a)

Yáñez, M.F., Heydecker, B.G., Ortúzar, J. de D.: A panel data model to forecast the effect of a radical public transport innovation. 4th International Symposium on Travel Demand Management (TDM2008). Vienna, Austria (2008b)

Yáñez, M.F., Cherchi, E., Heydecker, B.G., Ortúzar, J. de D.: Inertia and shock effects over mode choice process: implications of the Transantiago implementation. 12th International Conference of the International Association for Travel Behaviour Research. Jaipur, India (2009a)

Yáñez, M.F., Ortúzar, J. de D.: Modelling choice in a changing environment: assessing the shock effects of a new transport system. International Choice Modelling Conference. Harrogate, U.K (2009b)

Zumkeller, D., Chlond, B., Manz, W.: Infrastructure development in Germany under stagnating demand conditions: a new paradigm? Transp. Res. Rec. 1984, 121–128 (2004)CrossRef

Zumkeller, D., Madre, J.L., Chlond, B., Armoogum, J.: Panel surveys. In: Stopher, P., Stecher, C. (eds.) Travel Survey Methods: Quality and Future Directions. Elsevier, Amsterdam (2006)

Titel: The Santiago Panel: measuring the effects of implementing Transantiago
verfasst von: María Francisca Yáñez
Patricio Mansilla
Juan de Dios Ortúzar
Publikationsdatum: 01.01.2010
Verlag: Springer US
Erschienen in: Transportation / Ausgabe 1/2010
Print ISSN: 0049-4488
Elektronische ISSN: 1572-9435
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-009-9223-y

Springer Professional

Abstract

Bitte loggen Sie sich ein, um Zugang zu Ihrer Lizenz zu erhalten.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Springer Professional "Technik"

Weitere Artikel der Ausgabe 1/2010

Integrating land use and transport knowledge in strategy-making

An analysis of trip chaining among older London residents

Exploring public transport usage trends in an ageing population

Dynamic model of activity-type choice and scheduling

A multi-instrumented approach to observing the activity rescheduling decision process

“Turn on the radio, bust out a song”: the experience of driving to work

Premium Partner