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Erschienen in: Quantitative Marketing and Economics 4/2007

01.12.2007

Reviewing the reviewers: The impact of individual film critics on box office performance

verfasst von: Peter Boatwright, Suman Basuroy, Wagner Kamakura

Erschienen in: Quantitative Marketing and Economics | Ausgabe 4/2007

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Abstract

Critics and their opinions or critical reviews play a major role in many markets. Marketing research on how critics impact product performance has so far examined an aggregate critic effect. An obstacle in studies examining the relationship of aggregate critical opinion and product sales is the close association between the intrinsic quality of a product and the aggregate opinion regarding the product. Our analysis parses out these two effects, allowing us to distinguish individual critics who are simply good at identifying products with popular appeal from those who act as opinion leaders and engender early product sales. The role of critics is especially prominent in the film business, in which one finds multiple expert opinions about each movie and where critics’ endorsements are used in advertising. In the context of the motion picture industry, our research investigates the impact of individual film critics on the market performance of movies, where specific key critics and reviewers may serve as market gatekeepers, and where various critics may have different types of impacts on product performance.

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Fußnoten
1
Although Eq. 1 allows for negative sales, constraints on the space of estimated parameters (e.g. that market potential m i must exceed cumulative observed sales for movie i) ensure positive sales.
 
2
Noted by one of the anonymous referees.
 
3
The coefficient estimates and standard errors are very close to previous values but no longer “significant,” in that 95% posterior intervals in this final model contain 0.
 
4
For q, the largest was 0.12.
 
5
In some of our preliminary modeling, we examined differences across genres of films, not finding differences between genres. One plausible explanation is sample size, that even with our relatively large set of films (466), the number of films in the 17 genres (action, adventure, animation, comedy, crime, documentary, drama, family, fantasy, foreign, horror, musical, mystery, romance, sci-fi, thriller, and western) in the 2 clusters is on average 13. We also combined the 17 genres into 9 more general genres, still not finding differences between them.
 
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Metadaten
Titel
Reviewing the reviewers: The impact of individual film critics on box office performance
verfasst von
Peter Boatwright
Suman Basuroy
Wagner Kamakura
Publikationsdatum
01.12.2007
Verlag
Springer US
Erschienen in
Quantitative Marketing and Economics / Ausgabe 4/2007
Print ISSN: 1570-7156
Elektronische ISSN: 1573-711X
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11129-007-9029-1