2.1 Introduction
2.2 Literature Review
2.2.1 Economic Theories on the Labor Supply
2.2.2 Empirical Studies on the Impact of the Market Wage, Child Care, and Unearned Income on the Employment of Married Women
2.3 Methodology and Data
2.3.1 Model
2.3.2 Data and Variable Setting
Total (a) | Work (b) | Non-work (c) | D (b)–(c) | t-test | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
LP | 0.831 | 1 | 0 | ||
Employment status | |||||
Non-work | 0.169 | 0 | 1 | ||
Irregular | 0.496 | 0.597 | 0 | ||
Regular | 0.334 | 0.403 | 0 | ||
Imputed wage | 8.713 | 8.678 | 9.153 | −0.475*** | p < 0.001 |
Wife’ years of schooling | 7.715 | 7.575 | 8.384 | −0.809*** | p < 0.001 |
Husband’ years of schooling | 9.051 | 9.018 | 9.193 | −0.175*** | 0.008 |
Number of children | |||||
One | 0.496 | 0.464 | 0.521 | −0.057*** | p < 0.001 |
Two | 0.352 | 0.356 | 0.384 | −0.028*** | p < 0.001 |
Three and more | 0.153 | 0.180 | 0.095 | 0.085*** | p < 0.001 |
Age of youngest child | |||||
Age 0–1 | 0.115 | 0.112 | 0.166 | −0.054*** | p < 0.001 |
Age 2–3 | 0.121 | 0.122 | 0.125 | −0.003*** | 0.603 |
Age 4–5 | 0.118 | 0.122 | 0.092 | 0.030*** | p < 0.001 |
Age 6–14 | 0.454 | 0.465 | 0.385 | 0.080*** | p < 0.001 |
Age 15 and over | 0.192 | 0.178 | 0.233 | −0.055*** | p < 0.001 |
Unearned income | 9.797 | 9.805 | 9.835 | −0.030*** | p < 0.001 |
Minority ethnicity | 0.130 | 0.122 | 0.120 | 0.002*** | 0.676 |
Urban | 0.287 | 0.297 | 0.152 | 0.145*** | p < 0.001 |
Region | |||||
East | 0.232 | 0.251 | 0.187 | 0.064*** | p < 0.001 |
Central | 0.355 | 0.339 | 0.398 | −0.059*** | p < 0.001 |
West | 0.254 | 0.251 | 0.207 | 0.044*** | p < 0.001 |
Northeast | 0.159 | 0.160 | 0.208 | −0.048*** | p < 0.001 |
Period | |||||
y 1989–1997 | 0.413 | 0.518 | 0.161 | 0.357*** | p < 0.001 |
y 2000–2006 | 0.297 | 0.265 | 0.391 | −0.126*** | p < 0.001 |
y 2009–2015 | 0.290 | 0.218 | 0.448 | −0.230*** | p < 0.001 |
Observations | 11,522 | 9,575 | 1,947 |
2.3.3 Female Employment Rate by Age and Education
2.3.4 Female Employment Rate by Age and Unearned Income
2.3.5 Female Employment Rate by Age and Number of Children
2.4 Econometric Analysis Results
2.4.1 The Market Wage, Child Care, Unearned Income, and Work Participation of Married Women in China
Probit | Probit_RE | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Coef. | S.E. | Coef. | S.E. | |
Imputed wage | 0.384*** | 0.152 | 0.506** | 0.202 |
Number of children (One) | ||||
Two | −0.182*** | 0.046 | −0.228*** | 0.064 |
Three and more | −0.152** | 0.064 | −0.195** | 0.088 |
Age of youngest child (Age 0–1) | ||||
Age 2–3 | 0.136 | 0.089 | 0.162 | 0.109 |
Age 4–5 | 0.223** | 0.089 | 0.244** | 0.108 |
Age 6–14 | 0.148** | 0.072 | 0.152* | 0.089 |
Age 15 and over | −0.066 | 0.079 | −0.122 | 0.101 |
Unearned income | −0.011 | 0.018 | −0.013 | 0.023 |
Minority ethnicity | −0.043 | 0.061 | −0.060 | 0.085 |
Urban | 0.309*** | 0.051 | 0.393*** | 0.071 |
Region (East) | ||||
Central | −0.255*** | 0.058 | −0.328*** | 0.081 |
West | 0.120* | 0.073 | 0.130 | 0.099 |
Northeast | −0.399*** | 0.062 | −0.491*** | 0.088 |
Period (y 1989–1997) | ||||
y 2000–2006 | −1.051*** | 0.191 | −1.350*** | 0.257 |
y 2009–2015 | −1.455*** | 0.310 | −1.849*** | 0.416 |
Constants | −1.004 | 1.216 | −1.448 | 1.620 |
Observations | 11,522 | 11,522 | ||
Groups | 4,920 | |||
Log likelihood | −2585.964 0.082 | −2535.901 | ||
LR test of rho = 0: | chibar2 (01) = 100.13 Prob > = chibar2 = 0.000 |
2.4.2 Results by Group
(1) Age 20–29 | (2) Age 30–39 | (3) Age 40–49 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Coef. | S.E. | Coef. | S.E. | Coef. | S.E. | |
Imputed wage | 2.162*** | 0.783 | 0.693** | 0.304 | −0.795*** | 0.239 |
Number of children (One) | ||||||
Two | 0.135 | 0.210 | −0.312*** | 0.093 | −0.246*** | 0.072 |
More than three | 0.029 | 0.355 | −0.234* | 0.136 | −0.133 | 0.089 |
Age of youngest child (Age 0–1) | ||||||
Age 2–3 | 0.068 | 0.201 | 0.308* | 0.170 | 0.771 | 0.564 |
Age 4–5 | 0.111 | 0.222 | 0.577*** | 0.166 | 0.589 | 0.485 |
Age 6–14 | 0.291 | 0.282 | 0.417*** | 0.139 | 0.710* | 0.431 |
Age 15 and over | 0.163 | 0.174 | 0.444 | 0.430 | ||
Unearned income | −0.096 | 0.084 | −0.042 | 0.034 | 0.005 | 0.025 |
Minority ethnicity | −0.086 | 0.283 | 0.002 | 0.119 | 0.013 | 0.096 |
Urban | 0.695** | 0.284 | 0.425*** | 0.102 | −0.002 | 0.073 |
Region (East) | ||||||
Central | −0.532* | 0.308 | −0.267** | 0.112 | −0.333*** | 0.082 |
West | −0.028 | 0.347 | 0.257* | 0.140 | 0.122 | 0.103 |
Northeast | −1.140*** | 0.359 | −0.461*** | 0.121 | −0.275*** | 0.092 |
Period (y 1989–1997) | ||||||
y 2000–2006 | −3.790*** | 1.089 | −1.612*** | 0.383 | 0.346 | 0.298 |
y 2009–2015 | −6.059*** | 1.745 | −2.187*** | 0.623 | 0.900* | 0.482 |
Constants | −12.687** | 5.863 | −2.938 | 2.456 | 8.239*** | 2.027 |
Observations | 2,123 | 5,819 | 6,797 | |||
Groups | 1,534 | 3,331 | 3,645 | |||
Log likelihood | −366.48 | −1162.84 | −2274.46 | |||
LR test of rho = 0: | chibar 2 (01) = 17.33 | chibar 2 (01) = 25.65 | chibar 2 (01) = 71.81 | |||
Prob ≥ chibar2 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
(1) Urban | (2) Rural | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Coef. | S.E. | Coef. | S.E. | |
Imputed wage | 2.223*** | 0.611 | 0.004 | 0.216 |
Number of children (One) | ||||
Two | −0.431** | 0.177 | −0.164** | 0.066 |
More than three | −0.348 | 0.310 | −0.202** | 0.090 |
Age of youngest child (Age 0–1) | ||||
Age 2–3 | 0.785** | 0.359 | 0.100 | 0.115 |
Age 4–5 | 0.479 | 0.303 | 0.264** | 0.117 |
Age6-14 | 0.398 | 0.256 | 0.184* | 0.096 |
Age 15 and over | −0.353 | 0.276 | 0.039 | 0.108 |
Unearned income | 0.009 | 0.083 | −0.013 | 0.023 |
Minority ethnicity | 0.003 | 0.280 | −0.083 | 0.088 |
Region (East) | ||||
Central | −0.397* | 0.214 | −0.243*** | 0.087 |
West | 0.111 | 0.254 | 0.201* | 0.109 |
Northeast | 0.429 | 0.296 | −0.565*** | 0.092 |
Period (y 1989–1997) | ||||
y 2000–2006 | −3.351*** | 0.772 | −0.800*** | 0.273 |
y 2009–2015 | −4.751*** | 1.233 | −0.996** | 0.443 |
Constants | −14.965*** | 4.760 | 2.509 | 1.738 |
Observations | 3,228 | 8,294 | ||
Groups | 1,634 | 3,286 | ||
Log likelihood | −469.11 | −2015.55 | ||
LR test of rho = 0: | chibar 2 (01) = 32.38 | chibar 2 (01) = 59.92 | ||
Prob ≥ chibar 2 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
2.4.3 Considering Irregular Work and Regular Work
(1) Multinomial probit | (2) RE_probit | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Irregular/non-work | Regular/non-work | Irregular/non-work | Regular/non-work | |||||
Coef. | S.E. | Coef. | S.E. | Coef. | S.E. | Coef. | S.E. | |
Imputed wage | −1.189*** | 0.330 | 4.434*** | 0.363 | -0.810*** | 0.226 | 4.419*** | 0.510 |
Number of children (One) | ||||||||
Two | 0.102 | 0.092 | −1.137*** | 0.100 | 0.060 | 0.067 | −1.126*** | 0.151 |
More than three | 0.175 | 0.131 | −1.891*** | 0.154 | 0.126 | 0.090 | −1.609*** | 0.233 |
Age of youngest child (Age 0–1) | ||||||||
Age 2–3 | 0.249 | 0.183 | 0.485** | 0.205 | 0.141 | 0.116 | 0.516** | 0.230 |
Age 4–5 | 0.475*** | 0.184 | 0.646*** | 0.204 | 0.270** | 0.116 | 0.731*** | 0.233 |
Age 6–14 | 0.498*** | 0.147 | 0.256 | 0.166 | 0.270*** | 0.096 | 0.200 | 0.191 |
Age 15 and over | 0.365** | 0.162 | −0.597*** | 0.182 | 0.176* | 0.109 | −0.681*** | 0.218 |
Unearned income | −0.111*** | 0.038 | 0.350*** | 0.045 | −0.071*** | 0.024 | 0.328*** | 0.055 |
Minority ethnicity | −0.078 | 0.124 | −0.268* | 0.141 | −0.063 | 0.089 | −0.338** | 0.202 |
Urban | −0.773*** | 0.118 | 2.172*** | 0.118 | −0.473*** | 0.087 | 2.342*** | 0.207 |
Region (East) | ||||||||
Central | −0.460*** | 0.126 | −0.417*** | 0.133 | −0.276*** | 0.088 | −0.664*** | 0.176 |
West | 0.171 | 0.157 | 0.510*** | 0.167 | 0.124 | 0.107 | 0.588*** | 0.216 |
Northeast | −0.784*** | 0.131 | −0.596*** | 0.139 | −0.491*** | 0.096 | −0.792*** | 0.195 |
Period (y 1989–1997) | ||||||||
y 2000–2006 | 0.279 | 0.416 | −7.103*** | 0.458 | 0.283 | 0.284 | −6.692*** | 0.660 |
y 2009–2015 | 0.917 | 0.672 | −10.769*** | 0.739 | 0.769* | 0.461 | −10.24*** | 1.064 |
Constants | 13.515*** | 2.656 | −36.381*** | 2.930 | 9.148*** | 1.828 | −36.259*** | 4.138 |
Observations | 11,522 | 7,293 | 4,896 | |||||
Groups | 3,213 | 2,804 | ||||||
Log likelihood | −6859.139 | −2182.7824 | −1404.233 | |||||
Pseudo R2 | 0.3127 | |||||||
LR test of rho = 0: chibar 2 (01) | 66.46 | 211.86 | ||||||
Prob ≥ chibar 2 | 0.000 | 0.000 |