nach oben

Water Resources Management

Erschienen in:

27.05.2022

Synergistic Effects of Changes in Climate and Vegetation on Basin Runoff

verfasst von: Cheng Zhang, Chuansen Wu, Zedong Peng, Shengyang Kuai, Shanghong Zhang

Erschienen in: Water Resources Management | Ausgabe 9/2022

Einloggen

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config

KI-gestützte Suche

Aus

Abstract

Climate and vegetation are important components of a changing environment that have synergistic effects on surface runoff. To date, few researchers have included the synergistic effects of changes in climate and vegetation in runoff simulation studies. In this study, a water-heat balance model based on the Budyko hypothesis was established, and an empirical formula for estimating model parameters based on the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index was proposed. This Normalized Difference Vegetation Index-climate relationship model allowed the synergistic effects of changes in climate and vegetation on runoff trends to be analyzed. The model was tested in the Fen River Basin, China. The results showed that the annual runoff would be 15.4%–39.5% (between 2020 and 2100) higher under two climate change scenarios than in the baseline period (2006–2015). Climate-driven change in the vegetation cover accounted for 8.0%–19.6% of the total variation in the runoff. The change in the vegetation cover inhibited the increase in runoff. To improve the accuracy of models and avoid overestimates, synergistic changes in vegetation and climate should be included in model simulations.

Vorheriger Artikel Comprehensive Regulation of Water Services. Why Quality of Service and Economic Costs Cannot be Considered Separately

Nächster Artikel Multi-Objective Firefly Integration with the K-Nearest Neighbor to Reduce Simulation Model Calls to Accelerate the Optimal Operation of Multi-Objective Reservoirs

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

über 67.000 Bücher
über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

Automobil + Motoren
Bauwesen + Immobilien
Business IT + Informatik
Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Jetzt informieren

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

über 102.000 Bücher
über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

Automobil + Motoren
Bauwesen + Immobilien
Business IT + Informatik
Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
Finance + Banking
Management + Führung
Marketing + Vertrieb
Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Jetzt informieren

Arora VK (2002) The use of the aridity index to assess climate change effect on annual runoff. J Hydrol 265(1–4):164–177CrossRef

Berger KP, Entekhabi D (2001) Basin hydrologic response relations to distributed physiographic descriptors and climate. J Hydrol 247(3–4):169–182CrossRef

Budyko MI, Zubenok LI (1961) Determination of evaporation from the land surface. Izv Akad Nauk SSSR Ser Geogr 6(3):3–17. (In Russian)

Cao W, Zhang Z, Zha T, Wang S, Guo J, Xu X (2018) Exploring the effects of vegetation dynamics and climate changes on the Chaohe watershed actual evapotranspiration-Budyko Hypothesis approach. Acta Ecol Sin 38(16):5750–5758. (In Chinese)

Chen A, He B, Wang H, Huang L, Zhu Y (2015) Notable shifting in the responses of vegetation activity to climate change in China. Phys Chem Earth 87–88

Chen J, Wang F, Meybeck M, He D, Xia X, Zhang L (2005) Spatial and temporal analysis of water chemistry records (1958–2000) in the Huanghe (Yellow River) basin. Glob Biogeochem Cycles 19(3)

Choudhury BJ (1999) Evaluation of an empirical equation for annual evaporation using field observations and results from a biophysical model. J Hydrol 216:99–110CrossRef

Christoffersen BO, Restrepo-Coupe N, Arain MA, Baker IT, Cestaro BP, Ciais P, Fisher JB, Galbraith D, Guan X, Gulden L (2014) Mechanisms of water supply and vegetation demand govern the seasonality and magnitude of evapotranspiration in Amazonia and Cerrado. Agric for Meteorol 191:33–50CrossRef

Chu H, Venevsky S, Wu C, Wang M (2019) NDVI-based vegetation dynamics and its response to climate changes at Amur-Heilongjiang River Basin from 1982 to 2015. Sci Total Environ 650:2051–2062CrossRef

Dong H, Wu Y, Xu H (2014) Spatio-temporal Variation Characteristics of Extreme Precipitation in the Yangtze River Delta during 1958–2012. International Conference on Environmental Science and Biological Engineering (ESBE2014) August 19–20

Eagleson PS (2005) Ecohydrology: Darwinian expression of vegetation form and function. Cambridge University Press

Feng X, Fu B, Piao S, Wang S, Ciais P, Zeng Z, Lu Y, Yuan Z, Li Y, Jiang X (2016) Revegetation in China’s Loess Plateau is approaching sustainable water resource limits. Nat Clim Chang 6(11):1019–1022CrossRef

Fu B (1981) Calculation of land evaporation. Atmospheric Science 5(1):23–31. (In Chinese)

Gan G, Liu Y, Sun G (2021) Understanding interactions among climate, water, and vegetation with the Budyko framework. Earth Sci Rev 212:103451CrossRef

Guo S, Guo J, Hou Y, Xiong L, Hong X (2015) Prediction of future runoff change based on Budyko hypothesis in Yangtze River basin. Adv Water Sci 26(02):151–160. (In Chinese)

Hogda KA, Tommervik H, Karlsen SR (2013) Trends in the start of the growing season in Fennoscandia 1982–2011. Remote Sens 5(9):4304–4318CrossRef

Hou W, Gao J, Wu S, Dai E (2015) Interannual variations in growing-season NDVI and its correlation with climate variables in the southwestern karst region of China. Remote Sens 7(9):11105–11124CrossRef

Hu C, Zhang Z, Chen J, He F, Bai R (2015) Temporal and Spatial Change of STARDEX Temperature Indices in the Yellow River Basin between 1961 and 2010, 2015 International Conference on Civil, Transport and Urban Engineering (CTUE2015), 5

Ji G, Wu L, Wang L, Yan D, Lai Z (2021) Attribution analysis of seasonal runoff in the source region of the yellow river using seasonal Budyko hypothesis. Land 10(5)

Jiang Y, Huang A, Wu H (2015) Evaluation of the performance of Beijing climate center climate system model with different horizontal resolution in simulating the annual surface temperature over Central Asia. Chin J Atmos Sci 39(03):535–547. (In Chinese)

Kumagai T, Katul GG, Porporato A, Saitoh TM, Ichie T, Suzuki M (2004) Carbon and water cycling in a Bornean tropical rainforest under current and future climate scenarios. Adv Water Resour 27(12)

Kumari N, Srivastava A, Dumka UC (2021) A long-term spatiotemporal analysis of vegetation greenness over the Himalayan Region using Google Earth Engine. Climate 9(7):109CrossRef

Labat D, Goddéris Y, Probst JL, Guyot JL (2004) Evidence for global runoff increase related to climate warming. Adv Water Resour 27(6):631–642CrossRef

Li H, Zhang Q, Singh VP, Shi P, Sun P (2017) Hydrological effects of cropland and climatic changes in arid and semi-arid river basins: a case study from the Yellow River basin, China. J Hydrol 549:547–557CrossRef

Li Z, Li Q, Wang J, Feng Y, Shao Q (2020) Impacts of projected climate change on runoff in upper reach of Heihe River basin using climate elasticity method and GCMs. Sci Total Environ 716:137072CrossRef

Liang S, Yi Q, Liu J (2015a) Vegetation dynamics and responses to recent climate change in Xinjiang using leaf area index as an indicator. Ecol Ind 58:64–76CrossRef

Liang W, Bai D, Wang F, Fu B, Yang Y, Long D, Feng M (2015b) Quantifying the impacts of climate change and ecological restoration on streamflow changes based on a Budyko hydrological model in China’s Loess plateau. Water Resour Res 51:6500–6519CrossRef

Liu M, Lin K, Cai X (2022) Climate and vegetation seasonality play comparable roles in water partitioning within the Budyko framework. J Hydrol 605

Liu X, Liu G, Hu C, Wu Z (2013) Application of BUCKET Model in Rainfall-Runoff Forecast. Yellow River 35(04):25–28. (In Chinese)

Montanari A, Young G, Savenije HHG et al (2013) “Panta Rhei—everything flows”: change in hydrology and society—the IAHS scientific decade 2013–2022. Hydrol Sci J 58(6):1256–1275CrossRef

Ning T, Li Z, Liu W (2017) Vegetation dynamics and climate seasonality jointly control the interannual catchment water balance in the Loess Plateau under the Budyko framework. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 21:1515–1526CrossRef

Ning T, Song X, Liu W, Lin W (2015) NDVI Variation and Its Responses to Climate Change on the Northern Loess Plateau of China from 1998 to 2012. Adv Meteorol 1−10

Ning T, Zhou S, Chang F, Shen H, Li Z, Liu W (2019) Interaction of vegetation, climate and topography on evapotranspiration modelling at different time scales within the Budyko framework. Agric for Meteorol 275:59–68CrossRef

Papagiannopoulou C, Miralles DG, Dorigo WA, Verhoest NEC, Depoorter M, Waegeman W (2017) Vegetation anomalies caused by antecedent precipitation in most of the world. Environ Res Lett 12(7):074016CrossRef

Penman HL (1948) Natural evaporation from open water, bare soil and grass. Proc R Soc Lond A Math Phys Sci 193(1032):120–145

Shen M, Piao S, Jeong S, Zhou L, Zeng Z (2015) Evaporative cooling over the Tibetan plateau induced by vegetation growth. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 112:9299–9304CrossRef

Song JH, Her Y, Park J, Kang MS (2019) Exploring parsimonious daily rainfall-runoff model structure using the hyperbolic tangent function and Tank model. J Hydrol 574:574–587CrossRef

Stocker TF (2014) Climate change 2013: the physical science basis: Working Group I contribution to the Fifth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge university press, pp 142-147

Sun F, Yang D, Liu Z, Zong Z (2007) Study on coupled water-heat balance in Yellow River basin based on Budyko Hypothesis. Shuili Xuebao 38(4):27–35. (In Chinese)

Tang Z, Ma J, Li Z, Peng H, Liang J (2016) Spatiotemporal changes of vegetation and their responses to temperature and precipitation in upper Shiyang River Basin. Geography and Geo-Information Science 32(03):116–120. (In Chinese)

Tucker CJ, Slayback DA, Pinzon JE, Los SO, Myneni RB, Taylor MG (2001) Higher northern latitude normalized difference vegetation index and growing season trends from 1982 to 1999. Int J Biometeorol 45(4)

Wang D, Hejazi M (2011) Quantifying the relative contribution of the climate and direct human impacts on mean annual streamflow in the contiguous United States. Water Resour Res 47(10)

Wang D, Jian SQ, Hu CH (2018) Impacts of climate change and human activities on runoff in Fenhe River Basin. Arid Land Geography 41(01):25–31. (In Chinese)

Xing W, Wang W, Shao Q, Yong B (2018) Identification of dominant interactions between climatic seasonality, catchment characteristics and agricultural activities on Budyko-type equation parameter estimation. J Hydrol 556:585–599CrossRef

Xu X, Liu W, Scanlon BR, Zhang L, Pan M (2013) Local and global factors controlling water-energy balances within the Budyko framework. Geophys Res Lett 40(23):6123–6129CrossRef

Xu Y, Yang J, Chen Y (2016) NDVI-based vegetation responses to climate change in an arid area of China. Theor Appl Climatol 126(1)

Yang D, Lei H, Cong Z (2010) Overview of the research status in interaction between hydrological processes and vegetation in catchment. Shuili Xuebao 41(10):1142–1149. (In Chinese)

Yang D, Shao W, Yeh JF, Yang H, Kanae S, Oki T (2009) Impact of vegetation coverage on regional water balance in the nonhumid regions of China. Water Resour Res 45(7)

Yao J, Hu W, Chen Y, Huo W, Zhao Y (2019) Hydro-climatic changes and their impacts on vegetation in Xinjiang, Central Asia. Sci Total Environ 660:724–732CrossRef

Zeng H, Jia G, Forbes B (2013) Shifts in Arctic phenology in response to climate and anthropogenic factors as detected from multiple satellite time series. Environ Res Lett 8(3):35036CrossRef

Zhang L, Dawes WR, Walker GR (2011) Response of mean annual evapotranspiration to vegetation changes at catchment scale. Water Resour Res 37(3):701–708CrossRef

Zhang L, Potter N, Hickel K, Shao Q (2008) Water balance modeling over variable time scales based on the Budyko framework-Model development and testing. J Hydrol 360(1)

Zhang S, Li Z, Hou X, Yi Y (2019) Impacts on watershed-scale runoff and sediment yield resulting from synergetic changes in climate and vegetation. Catena 179:129–138CrossRef

Zhao N, Wang H, Yu Y, Xu W (2018) The attribution analysis of streamflow changes in the Zoige basin based on the Budyko hypothesis. South-to-North Water Transfers and Water Science & Technology 16(06):21–26. (In Chinese)

Zhao Q, Liu X, Ditmar P, Siemes C, Revtova E, Hashemi-Farahani H, Klees R (2011) Water storage variations of the Yangtze, Yellow, and Zhujiang river basins derived from the DEOS Mass Transport (DMT-1) model. Sci China Earth Sci 54(5):667–677CrossRef

Titel: Synergistic Effects of Changes in Climate and Vegetation on Basin Runoff
verfasst von: Cheng Zhang
Chuansen Wu
Zedong Peng
Shengyang Kuai
Shanghong Zhang
Publikationsdatum: 27.05.2022
Verlag: Springer Netherlands
Erschienen in: Water Resources Management / Ausgabe 9/2022
Print ISSN: 0920-4741
Elektronische ISSN: 1573-1650
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-022-03199-w

Springer Professional

Abstract

Bitte loggen Sie sich ein, um Zugang zu Ihrer Lizenz zu erhalten.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Technik"

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Weitere Artikel der Ausgabe 9/2022

Comparative Simulation of GIS-Based Rainwater Management Solutions

Multi-Objective Firefly Integration with the K-Nearest Neighbor to Reduce Simulation Model Calls to Accelerate the Optimal Operation of Multi-Objective Reservoirs

Managing Water Supply and Demand to Achieve Economic and Environmental Objectives: Application of Mathematical Programming and ANFIS Models

Real-time Neural-network-based Ensemble Typhoon Flood Forecasting Model with Self-organizing Map Cluster Analysis: A Case Study on the Wu River Basin in Taiwan

A multi-weight fuzzy Methodological Framework for Allocating Coalition Payoffs of Joint Water Environment Governance in Transboundary River Basins

A Parallel Multi-objective Optimization Algorithm Based on Coarse-to-Fine Decomposition for Real-time Large-scale Reservoir Flood Control Operation