Skip to main content
Erschienen in: Journal of Chinese Political Science 2/2015

01.06.2015 | RESEARCH ARTICLE

The Impact of Economic Development on Political Interest Across Social Classes in China: Turning the Chinese Dream into a Chinese Reality?

verfasst von: David A. Owen

Erschienen in: Journal of Chinese Political Science | Ausgabe 2/2015

Einloggen

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Modernization theory has been instrumental to our understanding of the conditions necessary for a democratic transition. Proponents suggest a link between economic development and political development where the former leads to a stronger middle class with a greater interest in politics, potentially resulting in demands on the regime for concessions. Recent findings, however, suggest modernization theory is incomplete. On the one hand, the working class may play a crucial role in the regime concession-demanding process. On the other hand, recent empirical evidence suggests that both classes are politically apathetic and simply do not engage the regime for change. This study investigates this relationship between economic development and political development by answering the question of how economic development has impacted interest in politics across the social classes in China. I use ordered logistical regression to test hypotheses derived from these propositions. The results have important implications for understanding the relationship between economic development and political development in China and the popular support for the CCP to turn the Chinese dream into a Chinese reality.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Anhänge
Nur mit Berechtigung zugänglich
Fußnoten
1
Other studies provide indirect insight into the potential impact of economic development on political interest. For instance, Dickson [6] and Chen and Dickson [3] investigated the CCP’s efforts to coopt the middle class entrepreneurs, the beneficiaries of economic development, and found evidence that these efforts were successful. Perhaps it is reasonable to conclude that these coopted entrepreneurs are unlikely sources of democratic change in China. In another study, Schubert and Ahlers [19] investigated the participation of villagers in local Chinese elections in purposively selected provinces based on levels of economic development and found that these elections actually strengthen CCP legitimacy at the expense of democratic change.
 
2
The 1995 wave of the WVS did not have any observations on the dependent variable; this wave was therefore excluded from the analysis.
 
3
This survey does have a subjective measure for social class where respondents are asked to state the social class they belong. Such a question is not a reasonable measure for social class in the context of this study and the problems are further exacerbated by the role ideology likely plays in the perception of Chinese social class. It is therefore highly unlikely that the meanings assigned to social class by the Chinese respondents in this survey even come close to the meanings useful for this scholarly endeavor.
 
4
Given the statistically significant findings on age for 2000 and 2005, it is clear those from the Mao period are more politically interested than those from the wealth accumulation period. However, a question that may arise is whether those enculturated with the Maoist ideology have greater political interest than those simply born during the Mao period but enculturated later on, during the turbulent 1980s, a period defined by protests for democratic change. In other words, is the relationship between political interest and age linear as the findings in this study suggest or more curvilinear where those who were politically active during the 1980s actually hold political attitudes similar to, or perhaps greater than, those of the Mao period? Perhaps it is prudent to investigate this relationship so I conducted a subsequent regression analysis by employing discrete dummy variables to represent different age groups: those born before 1950 who were most likely to develop their political attitudes during the Mao period; those born between 1950 and 1960 who were likely to develop their political interest in the latter years of the Mao period, the Deng period and likely expressed their political interest in the 1980s; those born between 1961 and 1971 who were likely part of the1990s when political interest was discouraged and interest in wealth accumulation was encouraged; and those born after 1971 who were most likely more interested in wealth at the expense of political interest. The findings support the conclusions drawn in this study in that those enculturated during the Mao period maintained greater political interest than successive groups: In 2005, while both those born before 1950 and those born between 1950 and 1960 were statistically significant, the odds ratio for the former was much higher; in 2000, only those born before 1950 demonstrated statistically significant political interest.
 
Literatur
1.
Zurück zum Zitat Almond, Gabriel, and Sidney Verba. 1989. The civic culture: Political attitudes and democracy in five nations. Princeton: Princeton University Press. Almond, Gabriel, and Sidney Verba. 1989. The civic culture: Political attitudes and democracy in five nations. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
2.
Zurück zum Zitat Andersen, R., and T. Fetner. 2008. Economic inequality and intolerance: Attitudes toward homosexuality in 35 democracies. American Journal of Political Science 52: 942–958.CrossRef Andersen, R., and T. Fetner. 2008. Economic inequality and intolerance: Attitudes toward homosexuality in 35 democracies. American Journal of Political Science 52: 942–958.CrossRef
3.
Zurück zum Zitat Chen, J., and B.J. Dickson. 2010. Allies of the state: China’s private entrepreneurs and democratic change. Cambridge: Harvard University Press. Chen, J., and B.J. Dickson. 2010. Allies of the state: China’s private entrepreneurs and democratic change. Cambridge: Harvard University Press.
4.
Zurück zum Zitat Chen, Jie, and Lu. Chunlong. 2011. Democratization and the middle Class in China: The middle class’s attitudes toward democracy. Political Research Quarterly 64(3): 705–719.CrossRef Chen, Jie, and Lu. Chunlong. 2011. Democratization and the middle Class in China: The middle class’s attitudes toward democracy. Political Research Quarterly 64(3): 705–719.CrossRef
5.
Zurück zum Zitat Chen, J., and Y. Zhong. 1999. Mass political interest (or apathy) in urban China. Communist and Post-Communist Studies 32: 281–303.CrossRef Chen, J., and Y. Zhong. 1999. Mass political interest (or apathy) in urban China. Communist and Post-Communist Studies 32: 281–303.CrossRef
6.
Zurück zum Zitat Dickson, B.J. 2008. Wealth into power: The Communist Party’s embrace of China’s private sector. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRef Dickson, B.J. 2008. Wealth into power: The Communist Party’s embrace of China’s private sector. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRef
7.
Zurück zum Zitat Hout, Michael, Jeff Manza, and Clem Brooks. 1999. Classes, unions, and the realignment of US presidential voting, 1952–1992. In The end of class politics: Class voting in comparative context, ed. Geoffrey Evans, 83–96. Oxford: Oxford University Press.CrossRef Hout, Michael, Jeff Manza, and Clem Brooks. 1999. Classes, unions, and the realignment of US presidential voting, 1952–1992. In The end of class politics: Class voting in comparative context, ed. Geoffrey Evans, 83–96. Oxford: Oxford University Press.CrossRef
8.
Zurück zum Zitat Lake, Ronald La. Due, and Robert Huckfeldt. 1998. Social capital, social networks, and political participation. Political Psychology Special Issue: Psychological Approaches to Social Capital 19(3): 567–584.CrossRef Lake, Ronald La. Due, and Robert Huckfeldt. 1998. Social capital, social networks, and political participation. Political Psychology Special Issue: Psychological Approaches to Social Capital 19(3): 567–584.CrossRef
9.
Zurück zum Zitat Lee, C.K., and E. Friedman. 2009. The labor movement. Journal of Democracy 20(3): 21–24.CrossRef Lee, C.K., and E. Friedman. 2009. The labor movement. Journal of Democracy 20(3): 21–24.CrossRef
10.
Zurück zum Zitat Lipset, S.M. 1959. Some social requisites of democracy: Economic development and political legitimacy. American Political Science Review 53(1): 69–105.CrossRef Lipset, S.M. 1959. Some social requisites of democracy: Economic development and political legitimacy. American Political Science Review 53(1): 69–105.CrossRef
11.
Zurück zum Zitat Moore, B. 1966. Social origins of dictatorship and democracy: Lord and peasant in the making of the modern world. Boston: Beacon. Moore, B. 1966. Social origins of dictatorship and democracy: Lord and peasant in the making of the modern world. Boston: Beacon.
12.
Zurück zum Zitat Nathan, Andrew J., and Tianjian Shi. 1993. Cultural requisites for democracy in China: Findings from a survey. Daedalus 122: 95–123. Nathan, Andrew J., and Tianjian Shi. 1993. Cultural requisites for democracy in China: Findings from a survey. Daedalus 122: 95–123.
13.
Zurück zum Zitat O’Brien, K.J., and L. Li. 2005. Popular contention and its impact in rural China. Comparative Political Studies 38(3): 235–259.CrossRef O’Brien, K.J., and L. Li. 2005. Popular contention and its impact in rural China. Comparative Political Studies 38(3): 235–259.CrossRef
14.
Zurück zum Zitat Owen, D.A. 2013. The impact of economic development on political development in authoritarian states: An initial study of political interest in Chinese provinces. Asian Politics and Policy 5(2): 211–225.CrossRef Owen, D.A. 2013. The impact of economic development on political development in authoritarian states: An initial study of political interest in Chinese provinces. Asian Politics and Policy 5(2): 211–225.CrossRef
15.
Zurück zum Zitat Putnam, Robert D. 1994. Making democracy work: Civic traditions in modern Italy. Princeton: Princeton University Press. Putnam, Robert D. 1994. Making democracy work: Civic traditions in modern Italy. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
16.
Zurück zum Zitat Pye, Lucian W. 1992. The spirit of Chinese politics. Cambridge: Harvard University Press. Pye, Lucian W. 1992. The spirit of Chinese politics. Cambridge: Harvard University Press.
17.
Zurück zum Zitat Przeworski, A., and F. Limongi. 1997. Modernization: Theories and facts. World Politics 49(2): 155–183.CrossRef Przeworski, A., and F. Limongi. 1997. Modernization: Theories and facts. World Politics 49(2): 155–183.CrossRef
18.
Zurück zum Zitat Rueschemeyer, D., E.H. Stephens, and J.D. Stephens. 1992. Capitalist development and democracy. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Rueschemeyer, D., E.H. Stephens, and J.D. Stephens. 1992. Capitalist development and democracy. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
19.
Zurück zum Zitat Schubert, G., and A.L. Ahlers. 2012. Participation and empowerment at the grassroots: Chinese village elections in perspective. Lanham: Lexington Books Press. Schubert, G., and A.L. Ahlers. 2012. Participation and empowerment at the grassroots: Chinese village elections in perspective. Lanham: Lexington Books Press.
20.
Zurück zum Zitat Scott, J. 1977. The moral economy of the peasant: Rebellion and subsistence in Southeast Asia. New Haven: Yale University Press. Scott, J. 1977. The moral economy of the peasant: Rebellion and subsistence in Southeast Asia. New Haven: Yale University Press.
21.
Zurück zum Zitat Shi, Tianjian. 1999. Mass political behavior in Beijing. In The paradox of China's post-Mao economic reform, ed. Merle Goldman and Roderick MacFarquhar, 145–169. Cambridge, Mass: Harvard University Press. Shi, Tianjian. 1999. Mass political behavior in Beijing. In The paradox of China's post-Mao economic reform, ed. Merle Goldman and Roderick MacFarquhar, 145–169. Cambridge, Mass: Harvard University Press.
22.
Zurück zum Zitat Shi, T. 2000. Cultural values and democracy in the People’s Republic of China. The China Quarterly 162: 540–559.CrossRef Shi, T. 2000. Cultural values and democracy in the People’s Republic of China. The China Quarterly 162: 540–559.CrossRef
23.
Zurück zum Zitat Sundhaussen, U. 1991. Democracy and the middle classes: Reflections on political development. Australian Journal of Politics and History 37: 100–117.CrossRef Sundhaussen, U. 1991. Democracy and the middle classes: Reflections on political development. Australian Journal of Politics and History 37: 100–117.CrossRef
24.
Zurück zum Zitat Tong, Y. 2011. Morality, benevolence, and responsibility: Regime legitimacy in China from past to the present. Journal of Chinese Political Science 16: 141–159.CrossRef Tong, Y. 2011. Morality, benevolence, and responsibility: Regime legitimacy in China from past to the present. Journal of Chinese Political Science 16: 141–159.CrossRef
25.
Zurück zum Zitat Townsend, J.R. 1967. Political participation in communist China. Berkeley: University of California Press. Townsend, J.R. 1967. Political participation in communist China. Berkeley: University of California Press.
26.
Zurück zum Zitat Verba, Sidney, and Norman H. Nie. 1972. Participation in America: Political democracy and social equality. New York: Harper & Row. Verba, Sidney, and Norman H. Nie. 1972. Participation in America: Political democracy and social equality. New York: Harper & Row.
27.
Zurück zum Zitat Wang, Z. 2014. The Chinese dream: Concept and context. Journal of Chinese Political Science 19: 1–13.CrossRef Wang, Z. 2014. The Chinese dream: Concept and context. Journal of Chinese Political Science 19: 1–13.CrossRef
28.
Zurück zum Zitat White, T. 1992. Reforming the countryside. Current History 91(566): 273–277. White, T. 1992. Reforming the countryside. Current History 91(566): 273–277.
29.
Zurück zum Zitat Wolfinger, Raymond E., and Stephen J. Rosenstone. 1980. Who votes? New Haven: Yale University Press. Wolfinger, Raymond E., and Stephen J. Rosenstone. 1980. Who votes? New Haven: Yale University Press.
30.
Zurück zum Zitat Zhong, Y. 2004. Political culture and participation in the Chinese countryside: Some empirical evidence. PS: Political Science and Politics 37(3): 445–453. Zhong, Y. 2004. Political culture and participation in the Chinese countryside: Some empirical evidence. PS: Political Science and Politics 37(3): 445–453.
31.
Zurück zum Zitat Zhong, Y., and J. Kim. 2005. Political interest in rural Southern Jiangsu Province in China. Journal of Chinese Political Science 10(2): 1–19.CrossRef Zhong, Y., and J. Kim. 2005. Political interest in rural Southern Jiangsu Province in China. Journal of Chinese Political Science 10(2): 1–19.CrossRef
32.
Zurück zum Zitat Zhong, Y., J. Chen, and J. Scheb. 1998. Mass political culture in Beijing: Findings from two public opinion surveys. Asian Survey 38(8): 763–783.CrossRef Zhong, Y., J. Chen, and J. Scheb. 1998. Mass political culture in Beijing: Findings from two public opinion surveys. Asian Survey 38(8): 763–783.CrossRef
33.
Zurück zum Zitat Zhu, J., S. Zhao, and H. Li. 1990. Public political consciousness in China. Asian Survey 30(10): 992–1006.CrossRef Zhu, J., S. Zhao, and H. Li. 1990. Public political consciousness in China. Asian Survey 30(10): 992–1006.CrossRef
Metadaten
Titel
The Impact of Economic Development on Political Interest Across Social Classes in China: Turning the Chinese Dream into a Chinese Reality?
verfasst von
David A. Owen
Publikationsdatum
01.06.2015
Verlag
Springer Netherlands
Erschienen in
Journal of Chinese Political Science / Ausgabe 2/2015
Print ISSN: 1080-6954
Elektronische ISSN: 1874-6357
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11366-015-9345-3

Weitere Artikel der Ausgabe 2/2015

Journal of Chinese Political Science 2/2015 Zur Ausgabe

Premium Partner