nach oben

Quality & Quantity

Erschienen in:

01.01.2015

Who will not deliberate? Attrition in a multi-stage citizen deliberation experiment

verfasst von: Maija Karjalainen, Lauri Rapeli

Erschienen in: Quality & Quantity | Ausgabe 1/2015

Einloggen

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config

KI-gestützte Suche

Aus

Abstract

This article examines the determinants of attrition in deliberative mini-publics. We approach attrition from a social psychological and a socioeconomic perspective and draw several hypotheses. We find that age and life situation are the primary predictors of attrition, but also having a negative opinion about immigration and reluctance to expose oneself to conflicting opinions play an important role. We use data from a citizen deliberation experiment organized in Finland in 2012. The data allows us to analyze attrition in several stages of recruitment, resulting in 207 people from an initial population of 12,000 participating in a deliberation experiment. The topic of the discussions was immigration, and the experiment was designed to test the theoretical assumptions of enclave deliberation. Our results feed the ongoing discussion about equality and representation in deliberative mini-publics and highlight the importance of social psychological variables in explaining attrition.

Vorheriger Artikel Visual conjoint analysis (VCA): a topology of preferences in multi-attribute decision making

Nächster Artikel Analysis of the medical demands of elderly dementia patients considering the caregiver cost of medical accompaniment: an application of the travel cost method and altruistic utility function

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

über 102.000 Bücher
über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

Automobil + Motoren
Bauwesen + Immobilien
Business IT + Informatik
Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
Finance + Banking
Management + Führung
Marketing + Vertrieb
Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Jetzt informieren

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

über 67.000 Bücher
über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

Bauwesen + Immobilien
Business IT + Informatik
Finance + Banking
Management + Führung
Marketing + Vertrieb
Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Jetzt informieren

Nur mit Berechtigung zugänglich

The experiment was financed by the Academy of Finland and the Åbo Akademi University. It was held at that university on 31 March and 1 April 2012.

Group polarization has also been experimentally studied in the field of social psychology but not in terms of enclave deliberation.

See Appendix for the 14 immigration opinion items.

We ran a logistic regression predicting removal by researchers at this stage. We used the available independent variables age, gender and education as predictors. None of them were statistically significant, suggesting that the theoretically motivated removals did not cause systematic distortion in the composition of volunteers in terms of these arguably relevant, although few, individual characteristics.

Age groups are on a five-year interval except for the last group which includes 6 years. This operationalization attempts to provide an understandable visual portrait of the attrition–age relationship.

As argued by Clifford (2012), physical disabilities are another potential hindrance to full inclusion to the deliberative process. The extent of attrition due to disabilities, however, also falls outside the boundaries of our investigation.

Allison, P.D.: Missing data. Sage, Thousand Oaks, CA (2001)

Carpini, M.X.D., Cook, F.L., Jacobs, L.R.: Public deliberation, discursive participation, and citizen engagement: a review of the empirical literature. Annu. Rev. Polit. Sci. 7, 315–344 (2004)CrossRef

Clifford, S.: Making disability public in deliberative democracy. Contemp. Polit. Theor. 11(2), 211–228 (2012)CrossRef

Conover, P.J., Searing, D.D., Crewe, I.M.: The deliberative potential of political discussion. Br. J. Polit. Sci. 32(1), 21–62 (2002)CrossRef

Druckman, J.N., Green, D.P., Kuklinski, J.H., Lupia, A.: The growth and development of experimental research in political science. Am. Polit. Sci. Rev. 100(4), 627–635 (2006)CrossRef

Dryzek, J.: Deliberative democracy and beyond. Liberals, critics, contestations. Oxford University Press, Oxford (2000)

Dryzek, J.S., Niemeyer, S.: Discursive representation. Am. Polit. Sci. Rev. 102(4), 481–493 (2008)CrossRef

Farrar, C., Fishkin, J.S., Green, D.P., List, C., Luskin, R.C., Levy Paluck, E.: Disaggregating deliberation’s effects: an experiment within a deliberative poll. Br. J. Polit. Sci. 40(2), 333–347 (2010)CrossRef

Finnish National Election Study [FSD2653]. Borg, Sami, Grönlund, Kimmo, Election Study Consortium. Helsinki: Taloustutkimus, 2011. Available through The Finnish Social Science Data Archive (2011)

Fitzgerald, J., Gottschalk, P., Moffitt, R.: An Analysis of Sample Attrition in Panel Data: The Michigan Panel Study of Income Dynamics. Working Paper No. 220. National Bureau of Economic Research (1998)

Gerber, A.S., Green, D.P.: Field experiments: design, analysis, and interpretation. Norton W. W. & Company, New York, NY (2012)

Goodin, R.E.: Representing diversity. Br. J. Politi. Sci. 34, 453–468 (2004)

Goodin, R.: Innovating democracy: democratic theory and practice after the deliberative turn. Oxford University Press, New York, NY (2008)CrossRef

Graham, J.W.: Missing data analysis: making it work in the real world. Annu. Rev. Psychol. 60, 549–576 (2009)CrossRef

Grönlund, K., Herne, K., Setälä, M.: Deliberation within and across enclaves: knowledge and opinion changes in an experiment. Paper presented at the 71st MPSA Conference, Chicago, 11–14 April 2013 (2013)

Grönlund, K., Bächtiger, A., Setälä, M.: Deliberative mini-publics: involving citizens in the democratic process. ECPR Press, Colchester (2014)

Grönlund, K., Setälä, M., Herne, K.: Deliberation and civic virtue: lessons learned from a citizen deliberation experiment. Eur. Polit. Sci. Rev. 2(1), 95–118 (2010)CrossRef

Groves, R.M.: Nonresponse rates and nonresponse bias in household surveys. Public Opin. Q. 70(5), 646–675 (2006)CrossRef

Groves, R.M., Singer, E., Corning, A.: Leverage-saliency theory of survey participation. Public Opin. Q. 64(3), 299–308 (2000)CrossRef

Gutmann, A., Thompson, D.: Why deliberative democracy?. Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ (2004)

Habermas, J.: Between facts and norms: contributions to a discourse theory of law and democracy. MIT Press, Cambridge (1996)

Hausman, J.A., Wise, D.A.: Attrition bias in experimental and panel data: the Gary income maintenance experiment. Econometrica 47(2), 455–473 (1979)CrossRef

Hooghe, M., Stolle, D., Mahéo, V.-A., Vissers, S.: Why can’t a student be more like an average person? Sampling and attrition effects in social science field and laboratory experiments. Ann. Am. Acad. Polit. Soc. Sci. 628, 85–96 (2010)CrossRef

James, M.R.: Descriptive representation in the British Columbia citizens’ assembly. In: Warren, M., Pearse, H. (eds.) Designing deliberative democracy. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (2008)

Luskin, R., Fishkin, J., Jowell, R.: Considered opinions: deliberative polling in Britain. Br. J. Polit. Sci. 32(3), 455–487 (2002)CrossRef

Mansbridge, J., Bohman, J., Chambers, S., Estlund, D., Føllesdal, A., Fung, A., Lafont, C., Manin, B., Martí, J.: The place of self-interest and the role of power in deliberative democracy. J. Polit. Philos. 18(1), 64–100 (2010)CrossRef

Mutz, D.: Cross-cutting social networks: testing democratic theory in practice. Am. Polit. Sci. Rev. 96(1), 111–126 (2002)CrossRef

Mutz, D.: Hearing the other side: deliberative versus participatory democracy. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (2006)CrossRef

Neblo, M.A., Esterling, K.M., Kennedy, R.P., Lazer, D.M.J., Sokhey, A.E.: Who wants to deliberate—and why? Am. Polit. Sci. Rev. 104(3), 566–583 (2010)CrossRef

Noelle-Neumann, E.: The spiral of silence: public opinion: our social skin. University of Chicago Press, Chicago, IL (1993)

Norris, P.: Radical right. Voters and parties in the electoral market. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (2005)CrossRef

OECD Immigration Statistics (2010). www.oecd.org. Accessed Dec 2012.

Parkinson, J.: Legitimacy problems in deliberative democracy. Polit. Stud. 51(1), 180–196 (2003)CrossRef

Scheufele, D., Eveland, W.: Perceptions of “public opinion” and “public” opinion expression. Int. J. Public Opin. Res. 13(1), 25–44 (2001)CrossRef

Sides, J., Citrin, J.: European opinion about immigration: the role of identities, interests and information. Br. J. Polit. Sci. 37(3), 477–504 (2007)CrossRef

Smith, G.: Deliberative democracy and mini-publics. In: Newton, K., Geissel, B. (eds.) Evaluating democratic innovations: curing the democratic malaise?. Routledge, New York, NY (2012)

Smith, G., Wales, C.: Citizens’ juries and deliberative democracy. Polit. Stud. 48(1), 51–65 (2000)CrossRef

Sunstein, C.: The law of group polarization. J. Polit. Philos. 10(2), 175–195 (2002)CrossRef

Uhrig, S.C.N.: The nature and causes of attrition in the British household panel survey. ISER Working paper series. Institute for Social and Economic Research (2008)

Ulbig, S.G., Funk, C.L.: Conflict avoidance and political participation. Polit. Behav. 21(3), 265–282 (1999)CrossRef

Voogt, R.J.J., Kempen, H.V.: Nonresponse bias and stimulus effects in the Dutch national election study. Qual. Quant. 36(4), 325–345 (2002)CrossRef

Warren, M., Pearse, H. (eds.): Designing deliberative democracy: the British Columbia citizens’ assembly. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (2008)

Wilson, P.A.: Deliberative planning for disaster recovery: re-membering New Orleans. J. Public Delib. 5, 1 (2008)

Wojcieszak, M., Baek, Y.M., Delli Carpini, M.X.: Deliberative and participatory democracy? Ideological strength and the processes leading from deliberation to political engagement. Int. J. Public Opin. 22(2), 154–180 (2011)CrossRef

Young, I.M.: Inclusion and democracy. Oxford University Press, Oxford (2000)

Titel: Who will not deliberate? Attrition in a multi-stage citizen deliberation experiment
verfasst von: Maija Karjalainen
Lauri Rapeli
Publikationsdatum: 01.01.2015
Verlag: Springer Netherlands
Erschienen in: Quality & Quantity / Ausgabe 1/2015
Print ISSN: 0033-5177
Elektronische ISSN: 1573-7845
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-014-9993-y

Springer Professional

Abstract

Bitte loggen Sie sich ein, um Zugang zu Ihrer Lizenz zu erhalten.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Weitere Artikel der Ausgabe 1/2015

Quality versus quantity in health care and educational reforms: combating poverty

Major differences: modeling profiles of community college persisters in career clusters

Combining qualitative and quantitative approaches for measuring underground economy of Pakistan

Causality between research output and economic growth in BRICS

Bayesian informative priors with Yang and Land’s hierarchical age–period–cohort model

Do the dynamics of financial development spur economic growth in Nigeria’s contemporal growth struggle? A fact beyond the figures